Europe rarely pulls its weight on the military front. But now they’ve dropped some key intel.
Because a EU official just warned America of an impending attack.
EU Defense Commissioner Warns of 2027 Global Security Risks
On July 21, 2025, Andrius Kubilius, the European Union’s first-ever defense commissioner, warned that 2027 could mark a critical moment for global security, citing potential coordinated aggressive actions by Russia and China.
Speaking in Washington, Kubilius echoed U.S. Air Force Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, NATO’s top air operations commander, who highlighted the same year as a potential flashpoint. Kubilius stated, “The most dangerous moment can be in 2027, when both Russia and China will make these aggressive moves in a coordinated way.”
This aligns with concerns about Russia escalating in Ukraine or Eastern Europe and China potentially invading Taiwan, as noted by Grynkewich’s warning that the U.S. and its allies must prepare for simultaneous conflicts in Europe and the Indo-Pacific.
U.S. Strategic Pivot and Europe’s Defense Buildup
Kubilius acknowledged the U.S.’s strategic shift toward the Indo-Pacific to counter China’s accelerating military modernization, which aims for “world-class” capabilities by 2027, as outlined by Chinese President Xi Jinping.
He noted, “We are recognizing that you, Americans, have really the right and the reason in the longer-term perspective to start to shift more and more toward the Indo-Pacific.”
With over 80,000 U.S. troops currently stationed in Europe, the Pentagon is encouraging European allies to take greater responsibility for their defense, a move Kubilius said the EU is addressing through a $840 billion “Re-Arm Europe” initiative, including a €150 billion loan facility for member states.
The EU has reduced its reliance on U.S.-made weapons from 60% to 40% of imports, aiming to further boost domestic production.
NATO’s recent pledge to increase defense spending from 2% to 5% of GDP reflects a unified commitment to strengthen the alliance, ensuring the U.S. and Europe can jointly counter global threats while maintaining America’s leadership on the world stage.
Support for Ukraine and Global Implications
Kubilius stressed the importance of sustained support for Ukraine against Russia’s ongoing invasion, warning that “China is watching” and could interpret Western weakness as an opportunity for aggression.
President Donald Trump recently announced that the U.S. would provide advanced weapons, such as Patriot air defense systems, to Ukraine, contingent on European allies covering the costs.
Western defense ministers met on July 21 to discuss financing mechanisms, underscoring the need for transatlantic cooperation.
The so-called “Davidson Window,” coined by former Indo-Pacific Command chief Adm. Philip Davidson in 2021, highlights 2027 as a potential year for Chinese action against Taiwan, adding urgency to these efforts.
The U.S.’s robust support for its allies, combined with Europe’s push to enhance its defense capabilities, aims to deter aggression from both Russia and China, reinforcing America’s role as a steadfast guardian of global security and democratic values.
