The Radical Left is losing ground in almost every state after Trump’s recent conviction. But this new report underscores just how significant things are.
And a new bombshell report out of a major swing states has the potential to change everything.
In a significant development for the 2024 presidential race, a new poll by Mitchell Research & Communications indicates that former President Donald Trump holds a lead over incumbent President Joe Biden among Michigan voters.
According to the poll, Trump commands 48.2 percent of the vote in a head-to-head matchup, slightly ahead of Biden’s 47.6 percent. Notably, 4.2 percent of voters remain undecided.
When third-party candidates are factored in, Trump’s lead extends marginally. The poll reveals Trump with 46.3 percent of the vote, while Biden trails with 45.1 percent.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., running as a third-party candidate, garners 3.3 percent support. The poll, conducted on June 3, surveyed 697 likely voters and carries a margin of error of 6.9 percent.
This data reflects a tightening race since the last poll conducted on May 20-21, 2024, which showed Trump with a wider lead of 2 percent.
The recent poll, taken after Trump’s conviction, suggests that Biden has slightly improved his standing among Democrats, securing 95 percent of their support compared to Trump’s 93 percent among Republicans.
Trump’s support among Democrats has decreased from 9 percent to 4 percent, while Biden’s backing among Republicans has risen from 4 percent to 5 percent. Among Independent voters, Trump now leads with 47 percent to Biden’s 40 percent.
Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Research & Communications, highlighted the implications of these findings, noting how Trump’s recent conviction might have influenced voter sentiment.
“Trump’s lead has narrowed from two percent to point six percent since our last survey conducted May 20-21, 2024, before Trump’s conviction. In the May 2024 survey, Trump had solidified his base better than Biden but post-conviction, Biden is doing slightly better with Democrats (95 percent) than Trump has with Republicans (93 percent),” Mitchell observed.
Michigan’s pivotal role in the upcoming election cannot be overstated. As a key swing state, it has the potential to significantly impact the outcome of the 2024 presidential race.
According to Real Clear Politics polling averages, Trump currently leads outside the margin of error in other crucial swing states such as Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, and Florida.
Trump also has a notable lead in Nevada, a state that has not voted Republican since 2004 when voters re-elected George W. Bush.
To secure an electoral victory, Trump would need to win only one of the three critical states—Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin—assuming he also prevails in the aforementioned swing states.
Currently, Trump holds a slight edge over Biden in all three of these states, although the results are within the margin of error in most polls. Trump carried these states in 2016 but lost them in 2020.
The post-conviction polling data underscores the resilience of Trump’s support base despite legal challenges.
His ability to maintain, and in some cases, increase support among key voter groups reflects a deep-rooted dissatisfaction with the current administration.
Many Trump supporters view the legal actions against him as politically motivated, which has galvanized his base and fueled campaign donations.
Reports indicate that Trump raised more than $200 million following his conviction, suggesting strong financial backing and grassroots support.
For President Biden, the narrowing gap in Michigan and other battleground states signals the need for a robust campaign strategy to regain lost ground.
His administration’s policies, particularly on the economy, inflation, and immigration, will be under intense scrutiny as voters weigh their options.
The upcoming election promises to be fiercely contested, with both candidates vying for the support of Independents and swing state voters.
Trump’s appeal to these groups, as reflected in the Mitchell Research poll, could be a decisive factor.
Stay tuned to Prudent Politics for updates on this developing story.
