There has been widespread speculation that the Democrats will replace Joe Biden. But new evidence has completely exposed their plans.
And new rumors of the Democrats’ plans to replace Biden have shocked the nation.
As President Joe Biden faces the lowest approval ratings of his term, renowned statistician and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver has proposed that Biden dropping out of the race might be the best course of action for Democrats, just five months before the 2024 election.
This suggestion comes as Biden’s approval rating plummets to an all-time low, raising serious concerns about his viability as a candidate.
According to the latest average of polls by FiveThirtyEight, President Biden’s approval rating has dropped to a mere 37.6%.
This dramatic decline has sparked a conversation about the feasibility of his re-election campaign.
Nate Silver, known for his sharp electoral analysis, took to the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) on Monday to voice his opinion on the matter.
“Biden dropping out of the race is worth discussing — even if, at this point, it would be a big risk for Democrats,” Silver wrote.
He acknowledged the significant risk involved but highlighted that continuing Biden’s campaign could pose an even greater threat to Democratic prospects.
“There’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk,” Silver added. “Are we there yet? I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask.”
Silver elaborated on his concerns, painting a grim picture of Biden’s re-election chances given the current political climate.
“If I’d told you 10 years ago a president would seek re-election at 81 despite a supermajority of Americans having concerns about his age, and then we’d hit 8% inflation for 2 years, you wouldn’t be surprised he was an underdog for re-election. You’d be surprised it was even close!” Silver stated.
The issue of Biden’s age has been a persistent concern among voters, with many questioning his ability to lead effectively given the numerous challenges the country faces.
This concern is compounded by economic issues, such as prolonged high inflation, which have eroded public confidence in the Biden administration.
Silver’s comments drew criticism from some quarters, particularly from those who felt it was inappropriate to question Biden’s candidacy following Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 felony counts related to falsifying business records in the New York hush money case. One user on X suggested that Silver should also call for Trump to drop out of the race.
“‘Trump should drop out too!’ is such a weird dunk on people who are pointing out that Biden has big challenges,” Silver retorted. “Yes, Trump should drop out! I agree! Biden would lose by 7 points, but I agree, the Republican Party and the country would be better served by a different nominee.”
Silver has been consistent in his argument that Biden’s decision to seek a second term has hurt the Democratic Party’s chances in 2024.
“What’s clearer IMO is that Democrats would have been better served if Biden had decided a year ago not to seek a second term, which would have allowed them to have some semblance of a primary process and give voters a say among the many popular Democrats across the country,” Silver noted.
In his Silver Bulletin newsletter in February, Silver warned Democrats that Biden was on a trajectory to lose to Trump.
“If you’d asked me a year ago, I would have told you that Joe Biden was a reasonably clear favorite in the event of a rematch against Donald Trump,” he wrote.
However, he pointed out that Biden’s situation had worsened considerably in recent months. “If he were 10 years younger, he might still be a 65/35 favorite,” Silver explained. “But if his campaign is substantially encumbered by his age, he’s probably the underdog.”
The concerns about Biden’s viability are further underscored by recent polling data.
The RealClearPolitics average of polls shows that Trump, the presumptive GOP presidential nominee, currently leads Biden in each of the seven battleground states.
This polling advantage for Trump suggests that Biden’s chances of securing a second term are increasingly precarious.
As the 2024 election approaches, the debate over President Biden’s candidacy continues to intensify. Nate Silver’s suggestion that Biden should consider dropping out reflects a broader anxiety within the Democratic Party about the president’s ability to win re-election.
With approval ratings at an all-time low and Trump leading in key states, the Democrats face a daunting challenge.
Stay tuned to Prudent Politics for updates on this developing story and more.
