Americans are waiting with bated breath. Who knows how this will all shake out.
And now the Left overlooked one shift that could hand Donald Trump a landslide.
Pollsters may be overlooking a “massive shift” in voter registration that’s taken place since the last election—one that could swing the 2024 presidential race toward former President Donald Trump on Tuesday, according to veteran GOP strategist Alex Castellanos.
Castellanos, a seasoned political expert with experience on campaigns for Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney, told Fox News’ “Special Report” that the razor-thin margin shown in current polls between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is failing to account for a surge in Republican enthusiasm.
“What I think they’re missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all of this. Thirty-one states have voter registration by party. Thirty of them in the past four years have seen movement toward Republicans,” Castellanos observed Sunday night.
He went on to emphasize this rise in GOP registrations, describing it as a “wavelet out there of Republican enthusiasm.”
As he put it, “If I register to vote Republican, whether I’m switching or new, what am I going to do?”
Castellanos suggests this spike in Republican registrations may explain why polls aren’t showing much variation, even as Election Day draws closer.
“I think the pollsters are getting this wrong. We’re all missing something, because they’re giving us the same poll over and over again. There isn’t even statistical variation,” Castellanos pointed out, adding:
“It’s like they’re telling us we’re watching a basketball game where every play’s a jump ball.”
This comes just after new polls released over the weekend reveal a virtual deadlock in six out of seven key battleground states.
Arizona, however, stands out with Trump leading Harris by four points, 49% to 45%.
The final swing state polling from the New York Times and Siena College shows Trump and Harris tied in Pennsylvania (48% each) and Michigan (47% each).
Harris holds a slim lead within the margin of error in Nevada (49% to 46%), North Carolina (48% to 46%), Wisconsin (49% to 47%), and Georgia (48% to 47%).
Meanwhile, prominent analysts like polling guru Nate Silver are also beginning to question recent polling trends, suggesting that some pollsters may be “herding” their results, trying to show a closer race to avoid standing out as outliers.
With the enthusiasm gap shifting toward Trump and questions swirling around poll reliability, this election could defy expectations on Tuesday.
Hopefully, we’ll know who wins sooner than in 2020.
But that has yet to be seen.
Stay tuned to Prudent Politics.
